Monday, October 27, 2008

Predictions and Mumme Poll

My predictions for weekend were pretty good. I was 4-1 outright and 4-1 against the spread.

Now for the MummePoll ballot.

Top 5

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Penn State
Texas

Rest of the top 12

Boise State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
Southern California
Texas Christian
Texas Tech
Utah

Thoughts and Reasonings:

Georgia moves up into the top 5 after hanging half-a-hundred on LSU, while USC drops out after a weak showing against Arizona. Texas and Penn State get marquee wins and solidify their position. Alabama takes care of business against a fast-fading Volunteer squad and Florida de-furs some Kentucky felines.

Oklahoma State gets to stay in the top twelve after a fine showing in a close loss to Texas. Utah continues to roll along with a big win over BYE. Texas Christian crushes Wyoming, which is not noticeably different than taking the week off. Boise State was solid and workmanlike against San Jose State.

Oklahoma is causing me some concern with their complete lack of defense. They allowed 35 to K-State? Really? The Sooners are effectively out of both the Big 12 and the national title pictures. But, this is still a very good team and has a good chance of winning out.

Then we get to Texas Tech. I dropped Ohio State for the loss. No 2-loss teams allowed in the top twelve at this point. I had to bring TT back into the fold. That was a big win over a decent Jayhawk team, and I can't justify ignoring an undefeated BCS conference team. I've been holding that they are a fraud and would fold against the first good team they play, and that may be true, but for now they are in. Maybe Texas will save us all and completely dismantle the Red Raiders.

Hmmm ... who to keep eyes on? Many of the teams who were starting to look pretty good went down over the weekend, but there are some new ones worth watching:

Florida State
Missouri
Ohio State
Tulsa

Conference watch.

Wow. Only 1 team from the ACC or Big East even merits watching?

I am overrating the SEC with 3 in the top 5, but the resumes look good at this point, and one of those will fall after the World's Largest Outdoor Coctail Party. A Big 12 team will be best positioned to move into the top 5, depending on how this weekend pans out.

No comments: